Action 3 News Weather Blog

Ever wonder what the MJO is and how it effects our weather??  Here is a good read…

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/mjo/

It appears the MJO is cycling back to something similar to October which gave much of the US a cold and stormy October.   Does this mean that WE will be the beneficiaries of these “storms”   Not guaranteed but at least we will be in that type of pattern.  Keep in mind that with the atmosphere about to go a total realignment compared to what it has been the last month, the models will continue to vary in their solutions over the next week.  Enjoy the next few days, the party is over after that.

Dean

Looks pretty non eventful.  This is GREAT news for all travelers.  A cold rain on Tuesday but temp profiles are NOT conducive for ANY snow.  Outside of a few flurries or a few wet flakes mixed in, i just don’t see it.  If you have any travel going west, it looks good.  Going east looks OK…no BIG storms but some cold rain and some light snow up in Minnesota.  All in all, not a bad week.  Lets hope December brings some excitement!!!

As expected, the mild pattern we were in for the start of November is about ready to change.  I still feel that December is going to mimic October.  Stormy and wet.  Yes that means above average snow too.  Already some of our long range models are picking up on this change toward the end of the month and into December.   Now, next week we get one piece of energy coming into the area but models are not very consistant at this point.  So, needless to say Monday into Tuesday will have to be watched.  A little clipper after that then that may deliver some cold air!  December looks exciting everyone…buckle up and enjoy the ride!!

What a dynamic storm!!  As expected, the SE corner of the state is getting hammered with some very impressive snow totals.  As of mid morning, areas around Falls City have picked up 6″ of snow and it continues to snow at 1-2″ per hour.  The deformation band is predicted to set up across the same area.  It’s quite possible areas in SE Nebraska will see up to 12″  It’s amazing how the track of a storm is SO important. This storm tracks 50 to 75 miles north and the Omaha metro gets ALOT of snow.  We may see some light precip this evening and overnight but don’t get excited….it doesn’t look like much.  We will be under the influence of this storm through Wednesday with alot of clouds but not much precip.  Models are trying to bring back a piece of energy back in on Wednesday.  Things quiet down by the end of the week and weather for the Nebraska game on Saturday looks pretty decent.  It still looks like we will get into a stormy pattern as we turn into December.  Let’s wait and see….

Dean

Latest 18z runs are still in line with bringing SE Nebraska and SW Iowa measurable snow…in fact one of our models, if it all fell as snow would be in excess of 6″.   Now the worst part of this storm will remain to our south.  However, I do expect to see some snow in Omaha but not much to stick….possibly an inch but I will update more on this at 10.  If this system tracks a bit farther to the north then Omaha will be put under some kind of advisory.  We will be fine tuning this forecast later tonight.